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Short-Term Power Load Point Prediction Based on the Sharp Degree and Chaotic RBF Neural Network

Dongxiao Niu, Yan Lu, Xiaomin Xu, Bingjie Li
2015 Mathematical Problems in Engineering  
Then this paper designed a forecasting model based on the chaos theory and RBF neural network.  ...  It predicted the load sharp degree sequence based on the forecasting model to realize the positioning of short-term load inflection point.  ...  Acknowledgment This paper is supported by the National Science Foundation of China (Grant nos. 71071052 and 71471059).  ... 
doi:10.1155/2015/231765 fatcat:s2yforyryrgjvfqy5guhwffoua

Annual Power Load Forecasting Using Support Vector Regression Machines: A Study On Guangdong Province Of China 1985-2008

Zhiyong Li, Zhigang Chen, Chao Fu, Shipeng Zhang
2010 Zenodo  
The performance of the new model is evaluated with a real-world dataset, and compared with two neural networks and some traditional forecasting techniques.  ...  A novel approach based on support vector machines is proposed in this paper for annual power load forecasting. Different kernel functions are selected to construct a combinatorial algorithm.  ...  Depending on different time horizons, load forecasting can be generally divided into short-term and mid-long-term categories.  ... 
doi:10.5281/zenodo.1328571 fatcat:3chwav2ipzeclcrlbhyen4byhu

Short-term Road Speed Forecasting based on Hybrid RBF Neural Network with the Aid of Fuzzy System-based Techniques in Urban Traffic Flow

Chun Ai, Lijun Jia, Mei Hong, Chao Zhang
2020 IEEE Access  
The prediction results show that, compared with simplex prediction methods, such as BP neural network, time series method, and RBF neural network, the hybrid RBF neural network has a higher forecasting  ...  Experimental results verify the accurate forecasting, enhanced learning feature and mapping capability of this method in short-term road speed forecasting, indicating that it can provide reliable predicted  ...  SHORT-TERM ROAD SPEED FORECASTING BASED ON HYBRID RBF NEURAL NETWORK A.  ... 
doi:10.1109/access.2020.2986278 fatcat:ttcaufas25bvzmnrpx6obfk4m4

Chaotic Time Series Forecasting Approaches Using Machine Learning Techniques: A Review

Bhukya Ramadevi, Kishore Bingi
2022 Symmetry  
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY  ...  The self-adaptive chaotic BPNN and parallel chaos algorithm reported in [128] , and [118] , respectively, are used for forecasting the short-term electrical power load in the China network.  ...  minimum redundancy based BPNN-LS-SVM [156] , and short-and medium-term load in the Xi'an power grid corporation, China.  ... 
doi:10.3390/sym14050955 dblp:journals/symmetry/RamadeviB22 fatcat:3oa3go7rdzdurjl4yxcivjsbf4

A survey of research progress and hot front of natural gas load forecasting from technical perspective

Huibin Zeng, Bilin Shao, Genqing Bian, Dan Song, Xiaojun Li
2020 IEEE Access  
As an important part of natural gas industry planning, load forecasting plays a vital role in the optimal dispatching and operation of the natural gas network.  ...  From the perspective of prediction technology, this paper selects the literature related to natural gas load prediction from the Web of Science and CNKI database as the research object.  ...  The authors are grateful for the help in writing this article by Yu Zhao and Hongbin Dai. They also thank the editor and the anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments.  ... 
doi:10.1109/access.2020.3044052 fatcat:635dluiv5rg3dgyo3fvdqyyxzq

Appropriateness of Neural Networks in Climate Prediction and Interpolations: A Comprehensive Literature Review

Sanjeev Karmakar, Siddhartha Choubey, Pradeep Mishra
2016 International Journal of Applied Information Systems  
And it is established that Neural Network such as BPN, RBF is best appropriate to be predicted chaotic behavior of climate variables like rainfall, rainfall runoff, and have efficient enough for prediction  ...  To be familiar with appropriateness of Neural Network in climate prediction and spatial interpolation, e comprehensive literature review of past 50 years is done and offered in this paper.  ...  As load forecasting is an important prediction aspect for industrial sectors all over the world, Mohsen Hayati, and Yazdan Shirvany, 2007, have put in an approach for short term load forecasting (STLF)  ... 
doi:10.5120/ijais2016451552 fatcat:53igsqqazzbipacaece54gko64

A Short-Term Load Forecasting Model with a Modified Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Based on the Denoising Method of Empirical Mode Decomposition and Grey Relational Analysis

Dongxiao Niu, Shuyu Dai
2017 Energies  
It can achieve good forecasting effect with high forecasting accuracy, providing a new idea and reference for accurate short-term load forecasting.  ...  The comparison results verify that the short-term load forecasting model of EMD-GRA-MPSO-LSSVM proposed in this paper is superior to other models and has strong generalization ability and robustness.  ...  Author Contributions: In this research activity, all the authors were involved in the data collection and preprocessing phase, model constructing, empirical research, results analysis and discussion, and  ... 
doi:10.3390/en10030408 fatcat:4qzwtdlr6ne7hi2iflshlohudm

Hybrid CSA optimization with seasonal RVR in traffic flow forecasting

2017 KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems  
Accurate traffic flow forecasting is critical to the development and implementation of city intelligent transportation systems.  ...  Therefore, it is one of the most important components in the research of urban traffic scheduling.  ...  They also proposed an ARIMA model based on jump in order to improve the forecasting accuracy of short-term traffic flow.  ... 
doi:10.3837/tiis.2017.10.011 fatcat:ses2ki3pizfgtmyebmqijcoryu

Regularization methods for the short-term forecasting of the Italian electric load [article]

Alessandro Incremona, Giuseppe De Nicolao
2021 arXiv   pre-print
In fact, the aggregated forecasts yielded further relevant drops in terms of quarter-hourly and daily mean absolute percentage error, mean absolute error and root mean square error (up to 30%) over the  ...  The 96x96 matrix weights form a 96x96 matrix, that can be seen and displayed as a surface sampled on a square domain.  ...  Yang, Rbf neural network and anfis-based short-term load forecasting approach in real-time price environment, IEEE Transactions on power systems 23 (3) (2008) 853– 858. 450 [  ... 
arXiv:2112.04604v1 fatcat:w3h5d4qnmzcjnc3afqiflv364q

A New Model to Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Combining Chaotic Time Series and SVM

Dongxiao Niu, Yongli Wang
2009 2009 First Asian Conference on Intelligent Information and Database Systems  
Findings show that the model is effective and highly accurate in the forecasting of short-term power load.  ...  According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data, the model of support vector machines (SVM) based on chaotic time series has been established.  ...  Beijing Municipal Commission of Education disciplinary construction and Graduate Education construction projects.  ... 
doi:10.1109/aciids.2009.22 dblp:conf/aciids/NiuW09 fatcat:4lqksymmo5cgbeidppvhe7sqia

Multi-scale Convolutional Neural Network with Time-cognition for Multi-step Short-term Load Forecasting

Zhuofu Deng, Binbin Wang, Yanlu Xu, Tengteng Xu, Chenxu Liu, Zhiliang Zhu
2019 IEEE Access  
INDEX TERMS Short-term load forecasting, probabilistic load forecasting, multi-step, multi-scale convolution, time cognition, deep learning.  ...  At first, a deep convolutional neural network model based on multi-scale convolutions (MS-CNN) extracts different level features that are fused into our network.  ...  ACKNOWLEDGMENT The authors would like to thank Minghao Xie, Heng Guo, Minghao Wang, Suhan Cui and Chengwei Cai for their assistances on experiments.  ... 
doi:10.1109/access.2019.2926137 fatcat:ntmfurlqt5b55ftqzbyqqr3xze

Electricity demand and spot price forecasting using evolutionary computation combined with chaotic nonlinear dynamic model

C. Unsihuay-Vila, A.C. Zambroni de Souza, J.W. Marangon-Lima, P.P. Balestrassi
2010 International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems  
This paper proposes a new hybrid approach based on nonlinear chaotic dynamics and evolutionary strategy to forecast electricity loads and prices.  ...  A comparison with other methods such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and artificial neural network (ANN) is shown.  ...  Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the support of the Brazilian Institutions of CAPES (Project 023/05), CNPq and FAPEMIG.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.ijepes.2009.06.018 fatcat:ihp2ks4bjzbbjjkuhmjv5cn73m

A hybrid SVR with the firefly algorithm enhanced by a logarithmic spiral for electric load forecasting

Weiguo Zhang, Linlin Gu, Yang Shi, Xiaodong Luo, Hu Zhou
2022 Frontiers in Energy Research  
Accurate forecasting of an electric load is vital in the effective management of a power system, especially in flourishing regions.  ...  Half-hourly electric load from five main regions (NSW, QLD, SA, TAS, and VIC) of Australia are used to train and test the proposed model.  ...  Based on these, the prediction of short-term load in NSW, QLD, VIC, SA and TAS can be obtained.  ... 
doi:10.3389/fenrg.2022.977854 fatcat:k3zyhzgufngdlhzjtfl4zxpfva

A Performance Comparison of Neural Networks in Forecasting Stock Price Trend

Binghui Wu, Tingting Duan
2017 International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems  
both in theory and practice.  ...  As a form of artificial intelligence, neural network can fully reveal the complex relationship between investors and price fluctuations.  ...  The forecasting method of chaos theory comprises local method, globe method, weighted local method, and so on.  ... 
doi:10.2991/ijcis.2017.10.1.23 fatcat:vcl6zoq2wzbupfbk62kau7zb7a

Using the Hierarchical Temporal Memory Spatial Pooler for Short-Term Forecasting of Electrical Load Time Series

E.N. Osegi
2018 Applied Computing and Informatics  
In this paper, an emerging state-of-the-art machine intelligence technique called the Hierarchical Temporal Memory (HTM) is applied to the task of short-term load forecasting (STLF).  ...  The comparative performance of HTM on several daily electrical load time series data including the Eunite competition dataset and the Polish power system dataset from 2002 to 2004 are presented.  ...  In [8] , point short-term load forecasting was carried out based on Chaos theory and a radial basis function (RBF) neural network.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.aci.2018.09.002 fatcat:uycntxmrercnfj2wa3fib3kebm
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