Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Skip to main content

Estimation in nonlinear mixed-effects models using heavy-tailed distributions

  • Published:
Statistics and Computing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Nonlinear mixed-effects models are very useful to analyze repeated measures data and are used in a variety of applications. Normal distributions for random effects and residual errors are usually assumed, but such assumptions make inferences vulnerable to the presence of outliers. In this work, we introduce an extension of a normal nonlinear mixed-effects model considering a subclass of elliptical contoured distributions for both random effects and residual errors. This elliptical subclass, the scale mixtures of normal (SMN) distributions, includes heavy-tailed multivariate distributions, such as Student-t, the contaminated normal and slash, among others, and represents an interesting alternative to outliers accommodation maintaining the elegance and simplicity of the maximum likelihood theory. We propose an exact estimation procedure to obtain the maximum likelihood estimates of the fixed-effects and variance components, using a stochastic approximation of the EM algorithm. We compare the performance of the normal and the SMN models with two real data sets.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Andrews, D.F., Mallows, C.L.: Scale mixtures of normal distributions. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 36, 99–102 (1974)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Beal, S.L., Sheiner, L.B.: NONMEN User’s Guide. Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models for Repeated Measures Data. University of California, San Francisco (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  • Branco, M.D., Dey, D.K.: A general class of multivariate skew-elliptical distributions. J. Multivar. Anal. 79, 99–113 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cai, L.: High-dimensional exploratory item factor analysis by a Metropolis-Hastings Robbins-Monro algorithm. Psychometrika 75, 33–57 (2010)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Choy, S.T.B., Smith, A.F.M.: Hierarchical models with scale mixtures of normal distributions. Test 6, 205–221 (1997)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cook, R.D.: Assessment of local influence (with discussion). J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 48, 133–169 (1986)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cook, R.D.: Local Influence. In: Kotz, S., Read, C.B., Banks, D.L. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Update, vol. 1, pp. 380–385. Wiley, New York (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Cook, R.D., Weisberg, S.: Residuals and Influence in Regression. Chapman & Hall, London (1982)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Copt, S., Victoria-Feser, M.: High breakdown inference in the mixed linear model. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 101, 292–300 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Davidian, M., Giltinan, D.M.: Nonlinear Models for Repeated Measurements Data. Chapman & Hall, New York (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  • Davidian, M., Giltinan, D.M.: Nonlinear models for repeated measurements: An overview and update. J. Agric. Biol. Environ. Stat. 8, 387–419 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De la Cruz, R.: Bayesian non-linear regression models with skew-elliptical errors: Applications to the classification of longitudinal profiles. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 53, 436–229 (2008)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • De la Cruz, R., Branco, M.D.: Bayesian analysis for nonlinear regression model under skewed errors, with application in growth curves. Biometric. J. 51(4), 588609 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  • Demidenko, E.: Mixed Models: Theory and Applications. Wiley, New York (2004)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Delyon, B., Lavielle, M., Moulines, E.: Convergence of a stochastic approximation version of the EM algorithm. Ann. Stat. 27, 94–128 (1999)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Dempster, A.P., Laird, N.M., Rubin, D.B.: Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm (with discussion). J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 39, 1–38 (1977)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Fernández, C., Steel, M.F.J.: Multivariate Student-t regression models: pitfalls and inference. Biometrika 86, 153–167 (1999)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gu, M.G., Kong, F.H.: A stochastic approximation algorithm with Markov chain Monte-Carlo method for incomplete data estimation problems. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 95, 7270–7274 (1998)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Jank, W.: Implementing and diagnosing the stochastic approximation EM algorithm. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 15, 803–829 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Jamshidian, M.: Adaptive robust regression by using a nonlinear regression program. J. Stat. Softw. http://www.jstatsoft.org/v04/i06 (1999)

  • Jara, A., Quintana, F., San Martin, E.: Linear mixed models with skew-elliptical distributions: A Bayesian approach. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 52, 5033–5045 (2008)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Johansen, S.: Functional Relations, Random Coefficients, and Nonlinear Regression with Application to Kinectic Data. Springer, New York (1984)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Kent, J.T., Tyler, D.E., Vardi, Y.: A curious likelihood identity for the multivariate t distribution. Commun. Stat. Simul. C. 23, 441–453 (1994)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kuhn, E., Lavielle, M.: Coupling a stochastic approximation version of EM with a MCMC procedure. ESAIM P&S 8, 115–131 (2004)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kuhn, E., Lavielle, M.: Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear mixed effects models. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 49, 1020–1038 (2005)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lange, K., Sinsheimer, J.: Normal/independent distributions and their applications in robust regression. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 2, 175–198 (1993)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lange, K.L., Little, R.J.A., Taylor, J.M.G.: Robust statistical modeling using the t distribution. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 84, 881–896 (1989)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lavielle, M.: Monolix User Guide Manual. http://www.monolix.org (2005)

  • Lavielle, M., Meza, C.: A parameter expansion version of the SAEM algorithm. Stat. Comput. 17, 121–130 (2007)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lee, S., Xu, L.: Influence analyses of nonlinear mixed-effects models. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 45, 321–341 (2004)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lin, T.I.: Longitudinal data analysis using t linear mixed models with autoregressive dependence structures. J. Data Sci. 6, 333–355 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  • Lin, T.I., Lee, J.C.: A robust approach to t linear mixed models applied to multiple sclerosis data. Stat. Med. 25, 1397–1412 (2006)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lin, T.I., Lee, J.C.: Estimation and prediction in linear mixed models with skew-normal random effects for longitudinal data. Stat. Med. 27, 1490–1507 (2007)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lindstrom, M.J., Bates, D.M.: Nonlinear mixed-effects models for repeated measures data. Biometrics 46, 673–787 (1990)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, C.: Bayesian robust multivariate linear regression with incomplete data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 91, 1219–1227 (1996)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, C., Rubin, D., Wu, Y.: Parameter expansion to accelerate EM: The PX-EM algorithm. Biometrika 85, 755–770 (1998)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Louis, T.A.: Finding the observed information matrix when using the EM algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 44, 226–233 (1982)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, A.: Robustness of the Student t based-M-estimator. Commun. Stat. Theor. M 26, 1165–1182 (1997)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • McCulloch, C.E.: Maximum likelihood algorithms for generalized linear mixed models. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 92, 162–170 (1997)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Meng, X.L., van Dyk, D.A.: The EM algorithm—an old folk song sung to a fast new tune (with discussion). J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 59, 511–567 (1997)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Meza, C., Jaffrézic, F., Foulley, J.-L.: REML estimation of variance parameters in nonlinear mixed effects models using SAEM algorithm. Biometric. J. 49, 876–888 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meza, C., Jaffrézic, F., Foulley, J.-L.: Estimation in the probit normal model for binary outcomes using the SAEM algorithm. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 53, 1350–1360 (2009)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Osorio, F., Paula, G.A., Galea, M.: Assessment of local influence in elliptical linear models with longitudinal structure. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 51, 4354–4368 (2007)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Philippe, A.: Simulation of right and left truncated gamma distributions by mixtures. Stat. Comput. 7, 173–181 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pinheiro, J., Bates, D.M.: Approximations to the log-likelihood function in the nonlinear mixed-effects model. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 4, 12–35 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pinheiro, J., Bates, D.M.: Mixed-Effects Models in S and S-PLUS. Springer, New York (2000)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Pinheiro, J., Liu, C., Wu, Y.: Efficient algorithms for robust estimation in linear mixed-effects models using the multivariate t distribution. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 10, 249–276 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, G.O., Rosenthal, J.S.: Optimal scaling of various metropolis-hastings algorithms. Stat. Sci. 16, 351–367 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, G.O., Gelman, A., Gilks, W.: Weak convergence and optimal scaling of random walk metropolis algorithm. Ann. Appl. Prob. 7, 110–120 (1997)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Rogers, W.H., Tuckey, J.W.: Understanding some long-tailed distributions. Stat. Neerl. 26, 211–226 (1972)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rosa, G.J.M., Padovani, C.R., Gianola, D.: Robust linear mixed models with Normal/Independent distributions and Bayesian MCMC implementation. Biometric. J. 45, 573–590 (2003)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rosa, G.J.M., Gianola, D., Padovani, C.R.: Bayesian longitudinal data analysis with mixed models and thick-tailed distributions using MCMC. J. Appl. Stat. 31, 855–873 (2004)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Russo, C.M., Paula, G.A., Aoki, R.: Influence diagnostics in nonlinear mixed-effects elliptical models. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 53, 4143–4156 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Shi, L., Chen, G.: Detection of outliers in multilevel models. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 138, 3189–3199 (2008)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Staudenmayer, J., Lake, E.E., Wand, M.P.: Robustness for general design mixed models using the t-distribution. Stat. Model. 9, 235–255 (2009)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Spiegelhalter, D.J., Thomas, A., Best, N.G.: Winbugs version 1.2 user manual. MRC Biostatistics Unit (1999)

  • Vaida, F.: Parameter convergence for EM and MM algorithms. Stat. Sin. 15, 831–840 (2005)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Vonesh, E.F.: A note on the use of Laplace’s approximation for nonlinear mixed-effects models. Biometrika 83, 447–452 (1996)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Vonesh, E.F., Chinchilli, V.M.: Linear and Nonlinear Models for the Analysis of Repeated Measurements. Marcel Dekker, New York (1997)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Walker, S.: An EM algorithm for nonlinear random effects models. Biometrics 52, 934–944 (1996)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, J.: EM algorithms for nonlinear mixed effects models. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 51, 3244–3256 (2007)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Wei, B., Shih, J.: On statistical models for regression diagnostics. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. 46, 267–278 (1994)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Wei, G., Tanner, M.: A Monte Carlo implementation of the EM algorithm and the poor man’s data augmentation algorithms. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 85, 699–704 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wei, W.H., Fung, W.K.: The mean-shift outlier model in general weighted regression and its applications. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 30, 429–441 (1999)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Welsh, A.H., Richardson, A.M.: Approaches to the robust estimation of mixed models. In: Maddala, G.S., Rao, C.R. (eds.) Handbook of Statistics, vol. 15, pp. 343–384. Elsevier Science, Amsterdam (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wolfinger, R.: Laplace’s approximation for nonlinear mixed models. Biometrika 80, 791–795 (1993)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Wolfinger, R.D., Lin, X.: Two Taylor-series approximation methods for nonlinear mixed models. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 25, 465490 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, C.-F.J.: On the convergence properties of the EM algorithm. Ann. Stat. 11, 95–103 (1983)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yeap, B.Y., Davidian, M.: Robust two-stage estimation in hierarchical nonlinear models. Biometrics 57, 266–272 (2001)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yeap, B.Y., Catalano, P.J., Ryan, L.M., Davidian, M.: Robust two stage approach to repeated measurements analysis of chronic ozone exposure in rats. J. Agric. Biol. Environ. Stat. 8, 438–454 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu, H., Lee, S.: Analysis of generalized linear mixed models via a stochastic approximation algorithm with Markov chain Monte-Carlo method. Stat. Comput. 12, 175–183 (2002)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Cristian Meza.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Meza, C., Osorio, F. & De la Cruz, R. Estimation in nonlinear mixed-effects models using heavy-tailed distributions. Stat Comput 22, 121–139 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-010-9212-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-010-9212-1

Keywords