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Cross-validation prior choice in Bayesian probit regression with many covariates

D. Lamnisos, J. E. Griffin, M. F. J. Steel
2011 Statistics and computing  
This paper examines prior choice in probit regression through a predictive cross-validation criterion.  ...  Cross-validation avoids the tendency of such models to fit perfectly. We choose the hyperparameter in the ridge prior, c, as the minimizer of the log predictive score.  ...  Conclusions The "ridge" hyperparameter c crucially affects Bayesian variable selection in probit regression with p >> n.  ... 
doi:10.1007/s11222-011-9228-1 fatcat:trklxopuuzb35bxzrlh2poffdm

Applications of Bayesian Gene Selection and Classification with Mixtures of Generalized Singular -Priors

Wen-Kuei Chien, Chuhsing Kate Hsiao
2013 Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine  
In this research, we suggested a reference hyperprior distribution for such uncertainty, outlined the implementation of its computation, and illustrated this fully Bayesian approach with a colon and leukemia  ...  Among the latter, Bayesian analysis can further accommodate the correlation between genes through the specification of a multivariate prior distribution and estimate the probabilities of association through  ...  . , , and converted the probit model to a Gaussian regression problem with the generalized singular -prior ( -prior).  ... 
doi:10.1155/2013/420412 pmid:24382981 pmcid:PMC3870637 fatcat:xamsdrsrgfhvram63z47jguhoi

On the marginal likelihood and cross-validation [article]

Edwin Fong, Chris Holmes
2019 arXiv   pre-print
This offers new insight into the marginal likelihood and cross-validation and highlights the potential sensitivity of the marginal likelihood to the choice of the prior.  ...  In contrast, non-Bayesian models are typically compared using cross-validation on held-out data, either through k-fold partitioning or leave-p-out subsampling.  ...  A.7 Illustration for the probit model To demonstrate the cumulative cross-validation score in an intractable example, we carry out model selection in the Pima Indian benchmark model with a probit model  ... 
arXiv:1905.08737v2 fatcat:3ucjbgyu6vfklb7kmyr63zu4lm

A Bayesian Joint Modeling Using Gaussian Linear Latent Variables for Mixed Correlated Outcomes with Possibility of Missing Values

Sayed Jamal Mirkamali, Mojtaba Ganjali
2016 Journal of Statistical Theory and Applications (JSTA)  
This paper proposes a Bayesian approach for the analysis of mixed correlated nominal, ordinal and continuous outcomes with possibility of missing values using a variation of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC  ...  Priors For Bayesian inference, we need to specify priors for parameters in the models described in Section 2.1.  ...  A cross validation analysis of simulated data with MAR values shows that the method is reliable regarding parameter estimation and imputations.  ... 
doi:10.2991/jsta.2016.15.4.5 fatcat:koitshzbarcptfmi7mgqn7bzhy

Bayesian binary kernel probit model for microarray based cancer classification and gene selection

Sounak Chakraborty
2009 Computational Statistics & Data Analysis  
In this paper we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian probit model for two class cancer classification.  ...  We incorporate a Bayesian gene selection scheme with the automatic dimension reduction to adaptively select important genes and classify cancer types under an unified model.  ...  In the simulation and case study section in this paper we will show several such cases where simple Bayesian probit regression model performs poorly.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.csda.2009.05.007 fatcat:lhuga5vzbrabvmcyfw2vnwy5cy

NIR and mass spectra classification: Bayesian methods for wavelet-based feature selection

Marina Vannucci, Naijun Sha, Philip J. Brown
2005 Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems  
We then use probit models and Bayesian methods that allow the simultaneous classification of the samples as well as the selection of the discriminating features of the spectra.  ...  In both examples our method is able to find very small sets of features that lead to good classification results. D  ...  For all choices of s in s=14, . . . ,18 LDA achieved an error rate of 4/23 in the validation set.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.chemolab.2004.10.009 fatcat:z5lnq4lwovb77ixvgvjvse5lkq

Estimation and Inference via Bayesian Simulation: An Introduction to Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Simon Jackman
2000 American Journal of Political Science  
Bayesian multivariate regression model.  ...  At this stage prior distributions for the probit coefficients @ are required, reflecting the Bayesian underpinnings of MCMC.  ... 
doi:10.2307/2669318 fatcat:fn4tyjc3kjcfnm2rsmfmbbly44

Nonparametric binary regression using a Gaussian process prior

Nidhan Choudhuri, Subhashis Ghosal, Anindya Roy
2007 Statistical Methodology  
The article describes a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimating the regression function for binary response data measured with multiple covariates.  ...  Such a prior does not require any assumptions like monotonicity or additivity of the covariate effects.  ...  The bandwidth parameter in LLE is automatically chosen by locfit() using a cross validation method.  ... 
doi:10.1016/j.stamet.2006.07.003 fatcat:cnrchf3pzndhhf46pv54pthwxi

A sparse multinomial probit model for classification

Yunfei Ding, Robert F. Harrison
2010 Pattern Analysis and Applications  
A recent development in penalized probit modelling using a hierarchical Bayesian approach has led to a sparse binomial (two-class) probit classifier that can be trained via an EM algorithm.  ...  It is, however, restricted to the binary classification problem and can only be used in the multinomial situation via a one-against-all or one-against-many strategy.  ...  More comprehensive descriptions of sparse Bayesian learning for both regression and classification can be found in [25] . 5 Figueiredo [24] proposes a sparse Bayesian approach to learn a probit classifier  ... 
doi:10.1007/s10044-010-0177-7 fatcat:m3duvhd7rjejzcoi4wqovpha5e

Multiple-Shrinkage Multinomial Probit Models with Applications to Simulating Geographies in Public Use Data

Lane F. Burgette, Jerome P. Reiter
2013 Bayesian Analysis  
We propose an approach to modeling multinomial outcomes with many levels based on a Bayesian multinomial probit (MNP) model and a multiple shrinkage prior distribution for the regression parameters.  ...  Multinomial outcomes with many levels can be challenging to model.  ...  The research was carried out when the first author was a postdoctoral research associate in the Department of Statistical Science at Duke University.  ... 
doi:10.1214/13-ba816 pmid:24358073 pmcid:PMC3863948 fatcat:wvacaa6cqve5bhm6uhs2lve25a

Log-Linear Bayesian Additive Regression Trees for Multinomial Logistic and Count Regression Models [article]

Jared S. Murray
2019 arXiv   pre-print
We introduce Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) for log-linear models including multinomial logistic regression and count regression with zero-inflation and overdispersion.  ...  But while many useful models are naturally cast in terms of latent Gaussian variables, many others are not -- including models considered in this paper.  ...  value as well as a latent covariance matrix, and to cross-validate the choice of reference category in addition to m and the parameters of the covariance matrix prior.  ... 
arXiv:1701.01503v2 fatcat:ztx3zmxqizejzblo4ma7wq4boi

Easy Variational Inference for Categorical Models via an Independent Binary Approximation [article]

Michael T. Wojnowicz, Shuchin Aeron, Eric L. Miller, Michael C. Hughes
2022 arXiv   pre-print
This approximation makes inference straightforward and fast; using well-known auxiliary variables for probit or logistic regression, the product of binary models admits conjugate closed-form variational  ...  We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data.  ...  The views and conclusions contained in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as representing the official policies, either expressed or implied, of the U.S.  ... 
arXiv:2206.00093v1 fatcat:tj6zr55bcfc4zfo3up4wilr22i

Modeling Complex Phenotypes: Generalized Linear Models Using Spectrogram Predictors of Animal Communication Signals

Scott H. Holan, Christopher K. Wikle, Laura E. Sullivan-Beckers, Reginald B. Cocroft
2009 Biometrics  
In order to accommodate this complexity we propose a Bayesian dimension-reduced spectrogram generalized linear model that directly incorporates representations of the entire phenotype (one-dimensional  ...  However, many important evolutionary characteristics of organisms are complex, and have correspondingly complex relationships to fitness.  ...  These results are based on the three holdout samples over each of the 500 cross-validation Table 2 Classification results from the "model-averaged" stochastic search variable selection probit regression  ... 
doi:10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01331.x pmid:19764952 fatcat:okffuyjab5cxtnnsxz5mthovpi

Objective Bayes model selection in probit models

Luis Leon-Novelo, Elías Moreno, George Casella
2011 Statistics in Medicine  
We describe a new variable selection procedure for categorical responses where the candidate models are all probit regression models.  ...  The procedure uses objective intrinsic priors for the model parameters, which do not depend on tuning parameters, and ranks the models for the different subsets of covariates according to their model posterior  ...  Acknowledgement We thank a reviewer for pointing out that, in a spirit similar to (12), Berger and Pericchi [22] used the Cauchy-Binet theorem (which relates the determinant of a matrix product to the  ... 
doi:10.1002/sim.4406 pmid:22162041 fatcat:hoo2mwpilnhplnd77tmo5gg7de

Clinical Prediction Models to Predict the Risk of Multiple Binary Outcomes: a comparison of approaches [article]

Glen P. Martin, Matthew Sperrin, Kym I.E. Snell, Iain Buchan and Richard D. Riley
2020 arXiv   pre-print
In such a situation, our results suggest that probabilistic classification chains, multinomial logistic regression or the Bayesian probit model are all appropriate choices.  ...  , and a Bayesian probit model.  ...  For example, many of the methods described below are fit using unpenalised MLE, but methods such as LASSO or fitting through Bayesian inference with penalising priors might be useful in some situations  ... 
arXiv:2001.07624v1 fatcat:6iksyiresbc4zhy3flb7w3csky
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